What is in the plan of Ukraine ceasefire that is presenting us in Russia?

As the US government aircraft flew from Jeddah at sunrise, you can see the feeling of achievement felt between the officials of President Donald Trump.

After a sharp collapse of two weeks with Ukraine, the state secretary Marco Rubio reached what President Trump wanted. Or at least half of it. There was a spring in his step as soon as he came on the ship.

In Saudi Arabia on Tuesday, an hour-long “immediate” 30-day ceasefire with Russia ended with a joint US-Ukraine statement. In return, to sign the idea, Washington is restoring arms supply and intelligence sharing.

The Trump administration officials are seeing this as a major success towards the foreign policy goals of a leader who campaigned to end the war.

“He wants to become the President of peace,” said Rubio.

After returning to North America on Wednesday, Rubio spoke with reporters about the deal: “Here we would like to see the world in a few days. Nor is any side shooting on each other, not rockets, no missiles, no bullets, no artillery. Nothing, no artillery. Shooting stops, fighting stops and talks start.”

For Ukraine, after the announcement, President Volodimir is a significant recurrence for Zelanski An derogatory attack in the oval office A fortnight ago, by Trump and Vice President JD Vance, argued for future US security guarantee. After that step, after suspension of US weapons supply, which are now restored.

For Moscow, it moves ONUS to a response to them, while the war itself intensifies.

But till now it is an American ceasefire proposal that only sees one side – depending on the Americans – signing up.

The US is ready to launch a plan for Russia in the coming days.

The proposal is only eight paragraphs long and includes Trump’s idea of ​​rapid desire to move forward rapidly.

Rubio said, “We will now take this proposal to Russians … The ball is now in their court.”

So does it make a ceasefire admirable? And if so, can it end the war in a justified and durable manner three years ago after Russia’s full -scale invasion, and on words that protect this region and the world?

It is worth breaking something in the statement to try to analyze it.

“Ukraine immediately expressed readiness to accept the American proposal to implement the interim-30-day ceasefire, which can be extended by the reciprocal agreement of the parties, and which is subject to acceptance and concurrent implementation by the Russian Federation. The United States will communicate with the United States Russia that the Russian mutuality is the key to achieving peace,” The statement says.

The main word here is “immediate”, which leaves no doubt: Trump wants the guns to be silent now. However, his feeling of urgency often leads to concerns in Europe.

There are many fears that by furthering the desired result without working first, Moscow has military pressure in the form of an attacker power and can exploit a truss.

They argue that it strengthens the occupation force.

This fear is eventually leading Ukraine in an effective surrender. The principle is that Russia – large, more populous and military more self -sufficient power – can use a trussion without establishing the first concessions to strengthen their forces, can take out a dialogue process and wait to see what happens politically for Trump, while it seizes everything; And yet try to take more land, manufacture your current business and potentially in danger of Europe using a fracture in the Western alliance.

The process of interacting on conditions before the conflict in conflicts may be important to ensure that the side converts current military threats into meaningful strategic benefits.

Zelancesi has first tried to convince Americans that Russian President Vladimir Putin cannot be tried, it has been clarified by the fact that he broke the European -backed Minsk agreements after seizing the Ukrainian region in 2014.

Trump dismisses these concerns, stating that there would be protection for Ukraine, but how it would be assured without saying. He has said that Putin will be stopped and is in a difficult position with “no choice”, but to make a deal for the reasons that “only I know”.

Rubio stated that on Tuesday, the US delegation had a significant discussion with Ukrainian on a permanent end for the war, with “what kind of guarantee for their long -term safety and prosperity”, but did not re -expand.

“The United States will immediately stop intelligence sharing and resume security aid to Ukraine,” The ceasefire is called the resolution.

This is a major victory for Zelanceci in the agreement and was restored to the supply of weapons distributed at the rate of $ 2BN (£ 1.5bn) -Vorth a month.

Severe, this also means that Washington will once again share its intelligence data and satellite paintings with Kiev, which helps it to target Russian positions. The White House said it suspended the aid as it seemed that Zelancesi was not “committed” to Trump’s peace plan.

The Ukrainian leader tried to give voice to his concerns on the basis of some of the above reasons when he was dropped from the Oval office. In this form, their reservation is being separated while welcoming the agreement – an essential value to pay to restore US security aid.

“Both delegations agreed to name their conversation teams and immediately started a conversation towards a permanent peace, providing for long -term security of Ukraine. The United States committed to discuss these specific proposals with Russia representatives. The Ukrainian delegation reiterated that the European partner would join the peace process,” The plan is called.

This paragraph is misleading because it is not clear that it refers to dialogue between Ukraine and the US, which is on establishing any safety guarantee for Ukraine, or if it refers to the interaction between Ukraine and Russia, then permanent the war ends to end the war to end the war.

If this is former, it suggests that Washington and Kiev will reduce any decisions about returning the safety of Ukraine and preventing Russian violations of a trusa, and America will then discuss these with Moscow.

But all this is far from such a safety guarantee Zelanceci eventually wanted, which was NATO membership, which Trump said that will not happen – a major long -term concession for Moscow’s demands.

Paragraphs also have a vague and lukewarm reference to the idea of ​​European peace soldiers, which is picked by the UK and France, only with the line responsible for the Ukrainian delegation.

It is noteworthy that America is not putting the idea in the part that Moscow has clearly rejected the idea.

“… The presidents of the two countries agreed to make a comprehensive agreement as soon as possible to expand Ukraine’s economy and to develop Ukraine’s long -term prosperity and security of Ukraine as soon as possible.

This was an agreement on which Zelansky was asked to leave the White House last month.

This will give a stake in the US in some of the Ukraine -owned mineral deposits, as well as some of the oil and gas revenue.

Trump see this as an effective safety guarantee for Ukraine, arguing that this dandruff will prevent the attack as American companies will be on the ground.

Opponents say it is meaningless because the US economic presence in Ukraine did not stop Putin in 2014 or 2022.

“The Ukrainian delegation reiterated the strong gratitude of the Ukrainian people for President Trump …”

This is an important line that can help explain the rehabilitation of zelanki in the eyes of the White House.

Vance had put him in the Oval Office for not thanking Trump, even though the Ukrainian leader had thanked the US military support dozens of times.

Now Trump has an official Ukrainian thanks to make peace on a piece of paper.