Trump suggests that he wants ethnic cleaning in Gaza. Is this possible? , Israel-Felistine Conflict News

Washington DC – Views of Jubilee and Tearful Reunion are coming out in the Gaza Strip, as hundreds of displaced people march back to their homes north of the region.

A delicate ceasefire has made the return possible after 15 months of the war in Gaza. But as rights advocate for a rare case of reverse displacement in Palestinian history, the United States President Donald Trump has called for transfer of Gaza’s entire population to Egypt and Jordan.

“You are probably talking about one and a half million people.” “We just clean the whole thing and say: ‘You know, it is over.”

Analysts say that Trump’s proposal will lead to ethnic cleaning, but given the geopolitical realities in the region, it is unlikely to be physical.

Yusaf Munier, head of the Palestine/Israel program at the Arabian Center Washington DC, said that Trump’s “derogatory” statement should be condemned to violate all criteria and basic rights.

He said, however, it should also be taken with a degree of suspicion.

“Trump says all kinds of things,” Munier explained. “Sometimes, they are things that it means. Sometimes, they are things that do not mean. Sometimes, they are things that they heard in a conversation that she was five minutes ago. Sometimes, they are things that they think they heard but misunderstood. ,

Munier said that the idea of ​​cleaning Gaza castefully is not new and it has been roaming since the war started in October 2023.

But talking about displacing the Palestinians in Egypt, the only Arab country which is the border of the region is rapidly closed by Cairo. Jordan, who sits next to the occupied West Bank, also rejected large -scale displacement.

Both countries have reiterated their positions after Trump’s recent comments.

“It’s not just about how these countries feel about Palestine or what they think about the Israeli-Filistini issue,” said Munier.

“It is also about their own national security concerns – existed national security concerns, which cannot actually be minimized in this discussion.”

Egypt and Jordan say no

On Wednesday, Egyptian President Abdel Fattah al-Sisi forcefully stressed that Egypt will not participate in any campaign to remove Palestinians from Gaza, as well as citing the “injustice” of displacement as well as Egyptian security Also cited.

“I want to assure Egyptians that Egypt’s national security violations will not be allowed or enabling,” he said.

L-Sisi said, if he had considering accepting the displacement of Palestinians, the Egyptians would have taken them to the streets to war them against the move.

“I clearly say: Palestinian people displacement from their land is an injustice in which we will not participate,” he said.

Jordan echoed the stance, Foreign Minister Ayman Safadi said the state of the Hashmite state is “irreversible and unchanged”.

While Trump has gained a reputation to strengthen other countries, analysts say that Egypt and Jordan have important interests that will accept a non-starter of Gaza’s displaced people.

Both governments are afraid of a backlash from their population, which sees any role in ethnic cleaning in the form of betrayal of Palestinian cause, which is a central issue in the region.

In addition, hundreds of thousands of displaced Palestinians, including thousands of warfare fighters, can destabilize political, economic and security structures in Egypt and Jordan, experts told Al Jazeera.

Nancy Okel, president of the US-based think tank Center for International Policy, said that Trump’s comments are not based on any real strategy.

“The Egyptian government, and especially President L-Sis, has been very clear and very firm that it is a no-go; This is a red line, “said Okel. “There is no way that it will be accepted.”

He said that Trump, a self-ensured dealmaker, can try to use a carrot-and-stick approach to convince Egypt to accept Palestinians from Gaza, but L-CC will not entertain the idea either. .

“First, this is a capacity issue. It is also a validity issue. And most importantly, it is a direct threat to the country’s stability, ”said Okel.

Fellow Anell Shelin, a research on the Quincy Institute for Responsible Statecraft, said Jordan has faced similar issues with large scale displacement.

While people should “be worried” about Trump’s proposal, Shelin said that the US President would not have fully considered the results of this policy for Jordan and the entire region.

“It is very crazy because I listen to it often, people say: ‘Why don’t other countries just take them, or why don’t they just leave?” Well, why does Israel just try to kill them? This is the real question, “Shelin told Al Jazeera.

Trump’s statement

The decline began on Saturday when Trump destroyed Gaza’s population, which exited the destroyed straps.

Trump said, “I want to take Egypt to people, and I want to take Jordan to people.”

He justified his suggestion by describing the devastation in Gaza, after the nunstop Israeli bombing more than a year.

“It is truly a demolition site. Almost everything has collapsed, and people are dying there, ”said Trump. “So, I will join with some Arab countries and build housing at a separate place, where they may probably live peacefully for a change.”

He said that displacement could be temporary or “long -term”.

Despite the backlash, Trump on Monday doubled his proposal, claiming that he spoke to the L-CC of Egypt about the matter.

“I wish he would take some (Palestinians),” said Trump. “We helped him a lot, and I am sure he will help us.”

Egypt is the top recipient of the US Ed. But neither the White House nor the Egyptian Presidency released a readout of alleged calls between Trump and L-Sis.

We have “not restrained” by law

Trump’s comment has been described as a policy of rejecting the permanent removal of Palestinians from his predecessor Joe Biden’s Gaza.

Nevertheless, in October 2023, at the beginning of the war, a funding request under Biden swam the possibility of large -scale displacement.

A White House letter to the Congress suggested assistance to Israel, “Gaza and West Bank would support displaced and struggling citizens including Palestinian refugees” and “address the potential needs of Ghazan fleeing in neighboring countries”.

Shelin said, in an “alternative universe”, where Arab countries may agree to take into displaced Palestinians, the Biden administration would have supported the removal of the population from Gaza.

“International law has not spoken of Palestinians nor is Israel talked about Palestinians – in fact and especially under previous administration,” Shelin said, who resigns from the US State Department to protest against his Gaza policy. Gave.

He said that American laws require serious military assistance to the country that violate human rights.

“Under Biden, it was clear that he had no intention to comply with international or American laws, which would require Israel to cut security aid.”

Ethnic cleaning can be considered both a crime against war crime and humanity – and critics say that Trump’s suggestion appears to fit the details.

In 1994, United Nations experts defined ethnic cleaning as “a purposeful policy, which means a purposeful policy designed by an ethnic or religious group by a violent and terrorist group, which means that some geographical areas means that some geographical areas Civil population of any other ethnic or religious group “.

Israeli Finance Minister Bezellal Smotrich welcomed Trump’s comments on Monday, saying that he is working with Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and the rest of the cabinet, “to prepare an operational plan and ensure the attainment of President Trump’s vision” .

Munier said that Israel has performed with his actions that he wants to remove Gaza.

“It’s one thing that it is one thing to do caste cleaning by sending to trucks and loading people and then forcing them at gunpoint,” he said.

“Another way to do this is to destroy everything there, make it uninhabited and then essentially make this issue impossible. And I think this has been the purpose of all Israelis. ,

Gaza’s future

Munier insisted that Gaza’s reconstruction requires political will and a permanent ceasefire, not the displacement of its population.

“People have been there throughout the massacre,” he said. “They are no longer in any danger of death that bombs have stopped falling on them. It is far from an ideal situation. But if you really wanted to start reconstruction and provide temporary housing and shelter and utilities to these people, while reconstruction is not like going to Mars. ,

Gaza is still in the first phase of the Trus, which began on January 19 and will last for 42 days. The future of the region, including the reconstruction plans, will not be finalized to the second and third part of the deal.

But the main questions remain on who will control Gaza. Israel and America have said that they will not allow Hamas to remain in power.

Last month, the then-Secretary of State Antony Blinkan submitted a “after day” plan for Gaza, which would see other countries sending soldiers for an interim security force employees, who “fully improving” Palestinian Authority (PA) pave the way. area.

However, it is not clear whether Hamas will accept foreign soldiers in Gaza. In addition, Netanyahu has repeatedly rejected the region, despite the close security coordination with the Israeli forces at the West Bank.

Okel said that Palestinian voices are missing from conversation about Gaza’s future, emphasizing that the question that controls the Palestinian areas should not be determined by the US, Israel or regional powers.

“The Palestinians have an opportunity to rule without resistance and not deciding and who runs for elections. He has willpower and has the ability to participate in a political process, “he said.