Leaders prepared as ‘old’ world system for major security meeting

US Vice President, JD Vance, Ukraine President Zelanski and 60 other world leaders and decision makers are due to calling the annual Munich Security Conference (MSc) to Munich in the next three days.

For almost two decades I have been participating and covering this program for BBC and I cannot think of a year when a lot is at stake in terms of global security. A senior and high veteran Western official said that this week is “the most dangerous and election fighting time I have known in my career”.

Why?

Simply put, there is a danger of catching the current World Safety Order-International Rules-based orders-there is a danger of having to be caught. Some will argue that this is already happening.

When President Putin began a full-scale invasion of Ukraine three years ago, it was widely condemned-although not all of the world. NATO, the European Union and the West generally reached an extraordinary level of unity in coming together to protect Ukraine, without drawing into direct conflicts with Russia.

Except for some of the demarbing from Slovakia and Hungary, there was a consensus that Putin’s invasion should be seen to fail or NATO would be severely weakened, while Russia eventually to attack another neighboring country like Estonia to attack another neighboring country. Will be wooed. It was often said that Ukraine should be taken and until it was taken to protect a permanent peace from the state of power.

No more.

President Trump has effectively pulled the rug from the status of Ukraine’s conversation through his Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth, that it was to restore the area of ​​Ukraine where it was before the first Russian invasion in 2014, just “not realistic”.

The US has also destroyed Kiev’s hopes of joining NATO, which is a major ambition of President Zelanceci, and next time Russia has made Russia American troops to help protect its borders to decide to attack. Refused to send.

With the news, there is another big shock that President Trump made a clear 90 -minute phone call with President Putin, thus suddenly finished the three -year freeze of the West, who talks to the Russian leader. doing. Attack.

In the next 72 hours, we will hear from the team of President Trump in Munich in Munich what will be the details of his plan for Ukraine. Some of these are still to be worked out after their messenger, the retired US Army General Keith Kelog, traveling to Kiev next week.

But for now, NATO unity is badly dentaded because there is a wide difference of opinion on Ukraine between Washington and Europe. Someone wants the war to end as soon as possible, even if it means to accept many demands of Moscow.

The other still believed in the trust, at least till this week, that Russia is facing strict long -term problems with losing around a thousand battlefield in a day, the best of winning a permanent peace The way would be its army and it had agreed to the more favorable peace terms for Ukraine.

Now this will not happen.

For NATO Alliance, now in its 76th year, other worrying cracks appeared which will also come here to discuss the Munich Security Conference.

Last month, President Trump announced that he wanted to “buy” Greenland, which is an autonomous part of the Denmark state. When Denmark Prime Minister Frederickson assured his population that “Greenland is not for sale”, there was called “frightening” phone call from Donald Trump, which has not denied the use of force to take Greenland.

The idea of ​​a NATO country was threatening to seize the part of the region of NATO country, so far. In the case of Greenland, there is no justification for this on security basis as there are more American soldiers on Greenland than Danish and are happy to agree on ways to promote mutual defense for Copenhagen Island.

But even if nothing comes from this idea, and most Scandinavia are highly expected that the case is already done. This message has gone out of the leader of the free world that if you want their territory, it is okay to threaten your neighbors by force.

“It can be,” says Kim Daroc, a former UK National Security Advisor and the British Ambassador of Washington, “Trump threatens economic measures against NATO’s colleague Denmark, and refuses to refuse military action against him Are talking only on the strategy. But even though nothing comes from it, it causes a lot of damage.

Washington’s European ally in Munich will seek some assurance here that it is not so. But President Trump is already well on how to shape the role of America in the world and indicated that he is unlikely to listen to any complaint coming from Europe.