Who lost and lost as Trump’s trade war – now delayed for

President Donald Trump has suspended heavy tariffs on Mexico and Canada for 30 days that he threatened after a final-matches with two American neighbors.

He may indicate concessions on border and crime enforcement as a win. But Justin Trudeau of Canada and Claudia Shinbam of Mexico can also claim political victory.

A trade war that will send an economic shockwave through North America and beyond – now.

So who blinks the eyelid first and what happens next?

Courtney Subramanian, BBC News, Washington DC

President Trump’s high-day conflict with the United States closest trading partners has paid both Mexico and Canada to strictly strict security security and to take big steps to address the fantaneel smuggling. .

The strategy of taking advantage of the American economy to force the concessions from other countries is Trump’s “America First” agenda, allowing them to follow through the main domestic issues without American consumers, Continental trade feels the sting of the economic consequences of the war.

His tariff playbook is hardly new.

During his first term, Trump’s tariff on steel and aluminum inspired backlash from Mexico, Canada and the European Union, but economists say that those measures were more limited in measures.

This time, Trump has promised a comprehensive tariff on goods from Mexico and Canada and China, which is still ready to see a 10% tariff increase on goods starting on Tuesday’s midnight.

But it is not clear whether Trump will follow his dangers for Canada and Mexico after the 30 -day time limit ends. The uncertainty is afraid that businesses may see their dependence on American markets, investing in new factories or hiring workers until the business stand-off becomes more clear.

Jessica Murphy, by BBC News, Toronto

It was not a January 1 Arctic explosion from the north – it was a widespread breath of relief from Canadian politicians and business leaders on a 30 -day break on American tariffs.

While the threat of tariff remains, Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau can claim a political victory: a disastrous business was shaping as a war.

Canadian politicians to find out what would really be to satisfy Trump – not aid by Canada’s domestic politics, Trudeau wrapped its last week in power as lame -time Prime Minister.

Border security measures declared on Monday are not all new.

In December, Canada announced C $ 1.3BN ($ 900m; £ 700m), including attempts to disrupt the fennel trade, new equipment for law enforcement and efforts to enhance coordination with US law enforcement.

Canadian monitoring drones and two black Hawk helicopters recently began patrolling the border between the two countries.

Officials have cited efforts for weeks to show that they are taking seriously the concerns of Trump’s boundary.

A new element appears to be the appointment of a “Phantenal Zar” and a C $ 200 meter intelligence instruction to fight organized crime and fantaneil.

A question that remains is what it means for the future of Canada-American relations. The partnership between the Allies is deeply shaken by Trump’s economic threats.

Will Grant, BBC Central America and Cuba Correspondent, Mexico City

During this trade crisis, President Claudia Shinbam has called for “cool head” and “quiet”.

Even on Friday, she said that she was convinced to the final-minute with 25% tariff on Mexican goods. And so it proved, after the morning telephone call with President Trump.

Soon after, announcing the agreement, she could barely wipe the smile from her face and her supporters manipulated what she has seen as a masterclass to interact with Donald Trump.

Yes, she agreed to send the National Guard soldiers to the border, which to focus on fennel-smuggling, but significantly safe she wanted from Trump.

At the same time a break on clear-tariff-it also got to “promise” Trump, from America to deal with high-power weapons traffic in Mexico, so that Cartel prevented ending in arms Can go Gun.

But he also bought another important thing: time.

Now he has several weeks to construct at the agreed points in that phone call and turn the temporary grip on the tariff into a permanent.

It is expected that the state secretary Marco Rubio will soon visit Mexico to discuss these matters and a joint group will be established on Fentaneel with Mexican and US Health and Safety Officers.

If in fact Shinbaum manages to prevent further trade hostility, it will go down as the first important victory of his new government, only in the office since October. And it can set tone for future interaction with President Trump and his administration.